Stafford already has been sacked 12 times, and the Panthers, with future Hall of Famer Julius Peppers playing at a high level (4.5 sacks), have the firepower to get Stafford off his game. Raiders 23, Ravens 16 -- Paul Gutierrez, Three key players from the Packers playoff victory over the Cowboys are gone -- Jared Cook (the tight end who caught the sideline pass to set up the game-winning field goal), Micah Hyde (the safety who had an interception) and T.J. Lang (the Pro Bowl guard who protected Aaron Rodgers). Top Week 5 NFL predictions One of the model's strongest Week 5 NFL picks is that the Titans (-2.5) cover against the Commanders in almost 60% of simulations. Matchup rating: 53.8 | Spread: TEN -3 (38.5), What to watch for: Marcus Mariota has not thrown an interception this season, but the Bills are tied with the Giants and 49ers for second in the NFL with five picks each. Analyzing how, where Golden Tate fits into Giants' offense, 1 p.m. Read more. They have the NFL's second-ranked rushing defense, surrendering only 59.3 yards per game, and they held Christian McCaffrey to just 37 rushing yards in Week 2 (53 all-purpose yards) and the Rams to just 28 total rushing yards in Week 4. Tennessee adopted a quick-hitting passing attack last week to speed up Mariota's decision-making, which should be the way to go against a Bills defense that takes away the vertical passing game and is third in the league in allowing a 57.1 completion percentage. DET-NE | CHI-MIN | MIA-NYJ The Eagles' pass defense is vulnerable, but Luke Falk -- a dink-and-dunk passer -- doesn't have enough arm to exploit the matchup. Cardinals 30, Eagles 27 -- Tim McManus, It's hard to know what the Jaguars are going to get from QB Blake Bortles each week, and this week may be even more of a mystery because the Jaguars may be without WR Marqise Lee because of a rib injury. Week 5 NFL game picks: Chiefs top Bills; Cardinals stay perfect with -- John Keim, Bold prediction: Titans quarterback Ryan Tannehill will finish with 300 passing yards in a win over the Commanders. Big Ben's 3-1 home-away touchdown ratio since 2015 looms large here, especially with Bell looking like his 2016 self and Jacksonville entering the week allowing 5.7 yards per carry, the league's worst by a large margin. Stat to know: Oakland's Darren Waller enters play with 33 receptions, tied for the most by a tight end through the first four games in NFL history (Antonio Gates, 2007). While he acquitted himself generally well in a tough spot when Mailata went down against the Jaguars on Sunday, Arizona should have some opportunities to affect the passer. Which QB will Colts take in Round 1? FPI prediction: SF, 72.5% (by an average of 8.3 points), Matchup must-reads: Chubb's running finally launches Browns' offense How good are first-place 49ers? His 43.1 QBR this season is also his worst through the first four games in that same time frame. These two teams just played each other in the regular season finale last week when the Roughnecks won 25-9 despite Brandon Silvers, Max Borghi, Deontay Burnett, and Brycen Alleyne all sitting. Stat to know: Tampa Bay's Shaquil Barrett leads the NFL with 9.0 sacks through four games. I tweaked my predictions from Sunday to reflect . Weinfuss' pick: Cardinals 20, Bengals 17 What to know for fantasy: Derek Carr has completed over 70% of his passes in four straight games against the Chiefs and cleared 18 fantasy points in three of those contests. Stat to know: The Chiefs have won six straight home games on Monday Night Football with the last loss coming in 2004 against the Patriots. FPI prediction: LAC, 57.5% (by an average of 2.3 points), Matchup must-reads: Chargers hope to get on track Browns' schedule gets difficult from now on Garrett back at Browns practice for first time since car crash, What to watch for: It looks like another week without Winston and wide receiver Michael Thomas, which would mean Andy Dalton will likely take over again at quarterback. Week 5 NFL predictions: Scores for every game - ESPN Reiss' pick: Patriots 30, Redskins 6 NFL Expert Picks - Super Bowl Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 Week 18 Wild Card Divisional Round . -- Mike Wells. passing windows despite a smaller 5-foot-10, 204-pound frame. With DT Fletcher Cox still working through a calf injury, there's a chance Palmer will have a little more time to operate. So this is a game the Chargers normally would lose, which is why Im picking them to win -- along with the fact that I believe the Giants will have trouble stopping the Bolts talented pass-rushing duo of Melvin Ingram and Joey Bosa. -- Rich Cimini, Bold prediction: Bridgewater with throw for 300 yards and three touchdowns, including two to Tyreek Hill. The Week 5 NFL slate is stacked with great matchups. 1, Panthers' Bryce Young is all 'business now', Top picks Christian Gonzalez, Keion White reflect Patriots' ideal identity, Big takeaways from the NFL draft: A historic QB class, the rebuilt AFC South and new GMs thriving, NFL Nation sizes up all 259 draft selections, XFL semifinals: Defenders roll Sea Dragons, set up title showdown with Renegades. Three (Tommy Nobis, 1966; Earl Campbell, 1978; Kenneth Sims, 1982) have been selected first overall. Jalen Ramsey to the Eagles: What are the realistic odds? -- Ben Baby. Facebook; Twitter; Facebook Messenger; Pinterest; Email; Scoring is up across the NFL. What to know for fantasy: Baker Mayfield averaged one touchdown pass every 18 attempts as a rookie. See Week 5 rankings. Predicting NFL Week 5 upset picks, fantasy football sleepers and flops Betting nugget: All four Bills games have gone under the total this season. Steelers 24, Jaguars 10 -- Mike DiRocco, The Steelers' offense is poised to break out eventually; Ben Roethlisberger has only one completion of more than 40 yards this season -- which came in Week 2, his only home game. The model also enters Week 5 of the 2021 season on an incredible 124-82 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates . UPDATE: I made seven changes to my final mock draft -- starting with the No. Walder's pick: 49ers 23, Panthers 14 Spread: GB -8.0 (41), What to watch for: This could be a nightmare matchup for the Packers' defense. But New York also hasn't faced a quarterback like Rodgers and has a pedestrian 9.0 sacks and a 29.0% pressure rate, per NFL Next Gen Stats. Matchup rating: 65.6 | Spread: NO -3 (46.5), What to watch for: Is this the week we see the training wheels come off for Teddy Bridgewater? The Colts' three losses have come to the same three teams that San Francisco has lost to -- Arizona, Los Angeles Rams and Seattle -- and Indianapolis lost those games by a combined 68 points. Panthers QB Young all 'business now', Bold prediction: Bears rookie running back David Montgomery finally breaks through with 100 rushing yards. -- Alaina Getzenberg, Bold prediction: Bills RB Devin Singletary will have his first 100-yard game of the season. This could be Rodgers' breakout game. Stat to know: The Rams have been outscored 44-3 with an NFL-worst minus-41 point differential in the fourth quarter this season -- they have outscored opponents by 17 in the first three quarters. Matchup rating: 50.5 | Spread: BAL -3.5 (44), What to watch for: The Ravens' defense has a penchant for giving up big plays. 2022 NFL Expert Picks | ESPN NFL Week 5 Early Odds, Picks & Predictions (2022) by Jason Radowitz | Sep, 29 2022 Before Week 4 begins, there's plenty of value with some Week 5 lines. We answered the biggest post-draft question for all 32, LB Barrett's 2-year-old daughter drowns in pool, Deion 'ashamed' after only 1 HBCU player drafted, Sources: NFL eyes May 11 to release schedule, Teams set NFL record with 43 trades during draft, Jets coach Saleh: Rodgers making 'presence felt', Cowboys scout emotional as team drafts his son, Rams use 'Mr. Betting nugget: San Francisco is 1-13-1 ATS and 6-9 outright in its past 15 games as a favorite (since Week 12 of 2014). But the Commanders' run defense will be severely tested by Tennessee running back Derrick Henry. Cowboys' running game will be tested on Sunday (1:06) Herm Edwards and Tedy Bruschi discuss the outcome of what could be a high-scoring game in Dallas. After a first round that saw three quarterbacks taken high, the Texans get aggressive, Will Levis slide . Raiders 20, Ravens 13 -- Jamison Hensley, As easy as it would be to go with Baltimore -- the Raiders have converted just two of their past 24 third-down opportunities and are without starting QB Derek Carr -- the home crowd is the X factor, and so is the confidence Oakland has in Manuel. Levis opens up about draft day Moody's pick: Jaguars 34, Texans 14 He has also been sacked 11 times, tied for the eighth most in the NFL. -- Eric Woodyard. The Vikings sacked Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford six times in a losing effort last week. They're now +1.5. It all culminates with a Monday Night Football matchup between the Raiders and the Chiefs on ESPN. The Vikings' passing game has been bad (169.0 yards per game), prompting receiver Adam Thielen to express his frustrations and, in turn, Cousins to apologize. But this week, players and coaches have been quick to say that was one game and the Chiefs present a different challenge. NFL Power Rankings Week 5 bet now, bet later Week 5 spot bets Under 50.5 (-110) Combined, both teams have begun the season 3-5 O/U while the Bengals are riding a three-game Under. Watson will continue to play well, but the Texans defense will have a tough time containing the speed Kansas City has on offense. Read more. ET | Fox -- Paul Gutierrez. Stat to know: The 49ers are 0-2 and averaging 10.0 points per game on the road this season -- and 2-0, 25.5 PPG at home. Cowboys D reaching elite levels of legendary Doomsday Defense? Pick NFL winners straight up or against the spread and compete to win more than $14,400 in prizes! That doesnt mean theyll have an easy time against Houston rookie QB Deshaun Watson. Stat to know: Brady's only three-game losing streak in his career came from Weeks 4 to 8 in 2002, his second season as a starter. Stat to know: The Patriots are looking to become the first team since the 1988 Browns and Dolphins to allow zero passing touchdowns in the first five games of the season. -- Lindsey Thiry. -- Adam Teicher, Bold prediction: Raiders cornerback Amik Robertson will have a takeaway against the Chiefs. Jack Driscoll, who hasn't started a game at left tackle since college, has been getting the work on Hurts' blind side this week. Jump to a matchup: What to know for fantasy: Christian McCaffrey has set the bar so high that three straight games with more than 100 scrimmage yards isn't enough to put him in the good graces of fantasy managers. Betting nugget: Over the past 15 seasons, teams favored by at least seven points in international games are 7-0 ATS (6-0 ATS in London). It sounds crazy, but the Jets will win their third straight game. Ertz has not scored this season, but his 24 catches rank fourth at the position this season and keep his floor high. Young is NFL-ready thanks to his fast . Elliott is coming off the third-fewest rushing yards of his career, yet the Packers are allowing 142.3 yards per game and 5.0 yards per carry. 1 in both defensive efficiency and QBR allowed in that span. But he'll face a Redskins defense that, on third down, allows QBs to complete 87.2% of their throws and post a 140.5 passer rating. -- Vaughn McClure. And for fantasy managers looking to make all the right moves, Graziano and Fowler name must-start sleepers and point out potential fantasy flops of the week. ET | FOX The Bears, however, are the league's least-equipped team to exploit that shortcoming. The versatile back is now on pace for 115 catches this season. Legwold's pick: Chargers 23, Broncos 21 Read more. Chicago head coach Matt Nagy is high on veteran backup quarterback Chase Daniel, who's starting in place of Mitchell Trubisky (left shoulder), but Nagy still wants to control the clock and pound the ball with Montgomery. Our NFL Nation reporters bring us the keys to every game, a bold prediction for each matchup and final score predictions. Additionally, ESPN Stats & Information provides a big stat to know and a betting nugget for each contest, and our Football Power Index (FPI) goes inside the numbers with a matchup rating (on a scale of 1 to 100) and a game projection. Read more. Time/station: 8:20 PM EST, ESPN. ), Jump to a matchup: Stat to know: The Vikings have allowed at least 300 yards in 12 straight games dating back to last season. Read more. Washington opened the. How have point spreads moved for Week 5 as Sunday approaches? See Week 5 rankings. Betting nugget: Since the start of the 2016 season, Arizona is 3-13 ATS in 1 p.m. All newly updated picks . Tannehill had only two 300-yard passing games last season and has yet to have one this year. Even without D'Andre Swift, the Lions' ground attack is rolling, and that won't stop against New England. -- Jeff Legwold. Read more. The Graham mistake 2.0: TE a rare miss for Packers GM With Elliott next, Packers have to get run defense on track in a hurry Leighton Vander Esch's star rising as fast off field as on it For Randall Cobb, Packers game just another week, 8:20 p.m. No, Williams isn't the greatest running back of all time -- or possibly even the best overall on his team -- but he has proven to be consistent and durable behind a strong offensive line. NFL Expert Picks, Predictions, Lines: Week 5 - College Football News NFL Week 5 picks, predictions: Colts vs. Broncos | Giants vs. Packers | Steelers vs. Bills Chargers vs. Browns | Texans vs. Jaguars | Bears vs. Vikings Lions vs. Patriots | Seahawks vs.. Dolphins 17, Titans 14 -- James Walker, The Chargers finished 1-3 on trips to the East Coast last season and are in the midst of a nine-game losing streak. -- Jordan Raanan. See Week 5 rankings. Matchup rating: 42.5 | Spread: MIN -5.5 (43.5), What to watch for: How will Kirk Cousins perform vs. the Giants' 25th-ranked pass defense, which is allowing 279.5 yards per game. Betting nugget: Philadelphia is 10-0 all time against New York and 9-1 ATS. Victor Cruz contends that Gardner Minshew is better equipped to lead his team to victory in the matchup with Panthers QB Kyle Allen. -- Jenna Laine. The Jags likely won't have cornerback Jalen Ramsey, and the domino effect of his absence will be a major issue when McCaffrey lines up on the outside. -- Mike Reiss. -- Jordan Raanan, Bold prediction: Minnesota will bench Diggs in Week 5 to send a message to the star receiver, especially after he missed practice for non-football injury-related reasons earlier in the week. Read more. Los Angeles Chargers at New Orleans Saints. Texas has had 357 players selected in the NFL Draft. See Week 5 rankings. FPI prediction: JAX, 71.8% (by an average of 6.6 points), Matchup must-reads: Texans release starting TE Pharaoh Brown After loss, the Jaguars look to rebound against AFC South How LSU and the SEC prepared Texans rookie Derek Stingley Jr. for the NFL Former Jaguars QB Blake Bortles says he 'quietly' retired, What to watch for: Things have not being going well for Baker Mayfield. ET | Fox See Week 5 rankings. Prediction: Cowboys 28, Giants 17. 2022 NFL Expert Picks | ESPN Read more. Walder's pick: Chargers 24, Browns 20 Matchup rating: 65.9 | Spread: KC -11 (56), What to watch for: The Chiefs' defense allows a touchdown or a field goal on an alarming 43% of their defensive possessions, 25th in the league. -- Michael Rothstein. He needs nine receptions on Sunday to break the five-game record, held by Zach Ertz (2018) and Eric Johnson (2004). -- Jamison Hensley, Bold prediction: Ja'Marr Chase will have more than 125 receiving yards. To take advantage of the Ravens' weak spot, the Steelers could push Rudolph to unleash more deep throws. Stat to know: The Dolphins' 11-2 record since 2021 Week 9 is tied with the Chiefs for best in the NFL. The Raiders . The Week 5 NFL slate is stacked with great matchups. What to know for fantasy: When you see "Brady vs. Atlanta," you likely think about the Super Bowl comeback, but that's not going to help you. For context, 5.2 yards per rush with McCoy on the field would rank fifth in the NFL among all teams this season, as opposed to 27th when McCoy isn't on the field. There have been 45 Longhorns selected in the first round. This scheme has not changed and is bolstered on the back end by Eddie Jackson, who leads the NFC in interceptions with three in four games. The Bucs also gave up an uncharacteristic 189 rushing yards in their 41-31 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs last week -- the most they've surrendered since 2018. ET | CBS Betting nugget: Philadelphia is 3-0 ATS against Pittsburgh since 2008. What to know for fantasy: Tony Pollard averaged 3.0 catches per game through two weeks, but in the past two weeks, he has a total of 2 receiving yards. At 0-4, the Browns talked a good game all week, but there was a feeling that folks were looking over their shoulder. 2023 NFL mock draft: Todd McShay's final first-round predictions - ESPN Read more. The one thing that might help their offense is the return of running back Alvin Kamara, who said he's ready to roll this week. The Pats are coming off a 16-point performance in which quarterback Tom Brady completed just 18 of 39 passes for 150 yards and an interception. More NFL coverage , Bold prediction: The Bucs will hold Alvin Kamara under 100 all-purpose yards and under 45 rushing yards. -- David Newton, Bold prediction: San Francisco 49ers defensive end Nick Bosa will have three sacks in his second career game against the Panthers. Christian McCaffrey, the eighth pick, leads the NFL in rushing with 411 yards, and Jacksonville's Leonard Fournette, the fourth pick, isn't far behind with 404. Dickerson's pick: Bears 19, Raiders 6 See Week 5 rankings. They also have a good secondary, which already has five interceptions. Rams 23, Seahawks 20 -- Alden Gonzalez, The Ravens catch a break with EJ Manuel starting at quarterback for the injured Derek Carr. Since the start of last season, 13 of the Bills' 20 games have gone under. -- Nick Wagoner, Embracing the fun spirit of fantasy sports, ESPN senior fantasy analyst Matthew Berry and his unconventional cast of characters aim to make fantasy football players smarter and help them win their leagues. Atlanta is the only team this season undefeated against the spread. Stat to know: Joe Burrow has 12 touchdowns on passes of 20-plus yards downfield since the start of last season. The answer is to be determined, Cruz expects Minshew will lead Jags over Allen's Panthers (1:17), Week 5 NFL game picks, schedule guide, fantasy football tips and more, Which NFL teams still have roster holes? Irrelevant' pick on Toledo's Johnson, Chargers go all-in on TCU with Duggan pick in 7th, 10 fantasy football breakout players for 2023, Will Levis opens up about emotional draft day, Steelers' first draft under Omar Khan was 'aggressive' and achieved high marks, After hoopla of going No. Full schedule | Standings Week 5 NFL game picks, schedule guide, fantasy football tips and - ESPN NFL Draft 2023: Ranking all 31 first-round picks as Eagles, Steelers ET games. That's tied for the most outright wins without a loss in any matchup in NFL history, according to Elias Sports Bureau research. The Raiders opened the season with three of their first four games on the road. Week 5 NFL predictions: Game Postponed. NFL Nation reporters give their picks for Week 5, including whether the Cowboys can bounce back against Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. They'll do just enough to keep things that way. The Bengals as a whole have an NFL-worst 2.8 yards per rush and NFL-low 1.5 yards before first contact. MIN-NYG | NYJ-PHI | JAX-CAR Chicago knows how dangerous Minnesota's run game can be, so they'll stack the box to try to take away Dalvin Cook and make Cousins beat them with his arm. On the other side of the ball, Tom Brady said his shoulder is fine, but former Falcon Julio Jones' status is up in the air after missing the second half last week because of a knee injury. With coaching staff in place, what's next for Carolina Panthers? Betting nugget: This is the 63rd straight regular-season game that Brady will be favored in, breaking a tie with Steve Young (1993-97) for the longest streak by a quarterback in the Super Bowl era. Because of the injuries in the Steelers' secondary, Josh Allen is primed to jump out to a big lead early and then let the ground attack go to work to run out the rest of the game. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. 2023 NFL draft buzz: McShay on top prospects, QBs, early picks - ESPN Everything you want to know is here in one spot to help you get ready for a loaded weekend of NFL football. More: NFL Week 5 odds: Money lines, point spreads, over/under for every Week 5 NFL game. -- DJ Bien-Aime. 3 all-time rusher Barry Sanders, 1 p.m. And regardless of whos at quarterback, Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs need to spark the Vikings' aerial attack early while the running game gets in its groove with Latavius Murray taking the reins for an injured Dalvin Cook. The 61-0 streak is over: Why the Ravens are no longer the NFL's best closers, Monday 8:15 p.m. Colts vs Broncos starts the week off on Thursday Night Football. DAL-LAR | CIN-BAL | LV-KC, What to watch for: The Bucs are on a rare two-game slide and are 0-2 at home so far this season, while the Falcons have won two straight. NFL Week 5 game picks, schedule guide, fantasy football tips - ESPN Thursday night is going to be fun. 3 all-time rusher Barry Sanders, Meet Brady's most trusted teammate: His 1995 shoulder pads, Redskins' January decision to maintain status quo looks bad in hindsight, Patriots' offense searching for identity, as it did in 2018, Big pass plays tearing up Ravens' defense, 'Do whatever' to win: Steelers bring back the Wildcat, Raiders hoping to reverse London trend by changing travel schedule, Left with no defense, Jackson needs to carry Ravens this season, Steelers' first draft by Khan 'aggressive', Mack expected to be with the Raiders 'for the long haul', Daniel embraces seldom-used, uncertain backup QB life, Carr: Burfict's 'heart is broken;' QB says ban isn't fair, Analyzing how, where Golden Tate fits into Giants' offense. NFL Week 5 Early Odds, Picks & Predictions (2022) | BettingPros
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